COVID-19 Map worldwide, with statistics

[Downeast]

Oops, I'm wrong. We have contributed immensely to the increase and distribution of various species of rats, mice, and roaches. That's about it.

 

[Toby Bradshaw]

Humans outnumber the vast majority of mammals on the planet, excluding perhaps Rodentia and 'm not sure but they may even outnumber cows and pigs.

 

[370bc]

Set and match.

 

[Downeast]

Ha! Good to see this information. With those kind of numbers why do we even bother with hunting seasons, fishing quotas, and the rest? I think I may load up some .45-70's and head out west and shoot some buffalo. I heard that there were millions out there free for the taking. And maybe this fall I'll charter a fishing trip for Blue Whales. No limit and you can harpoon all you want. After that, I'll go and hunt wild quail. They are so abundant that there is no season or bag limit nationwide.

But I digress. We were talking about the little bio-weapon from China that is screwing up our world.

 

[ronsatspokane]

There are almost 8 billion people on the planet. As a retired biologist 32 million is not significant. But I look at Homo sapiens as I would any other species and something has to curtail their growth sooner or later. I doubt that Covid-19 is the end all cure. Humans outnumber the vast majority of mammals on the planet, excluding perhaps Rodentia and 'm not sure but they may even outnumber cows and pigs. And look at the harm they do. They have contributed absolutely nothing to the planet.

I don't know man. The whole heliocentric view of the solar system is some pretty cool shit. Perhaps you are unfamiliar with it. Are you one of those flat earther dudes?

 

[SGK]

the little bio-weapon from China

WTF

 

[Downeast]

You mean the Earth is round?

 

[SGK]

Rate of increase of confirmed infections tracking higher than Italy (and most other European countries)... Note that confirmed cases in the US are closer to 20,000. This graphic is a bit behind.

 

[watercam]

Good time to be in Hong Kong...

 

[SGK]

Hong Kong has resumed a partial lockdown as it faces a "second wave" outbreak

 

[Toby Bradshaw]

Rate of increase of confirmed infections tracking higher than Italy (and most other European countries)... Note that confirmed cases in the US are closer to 20,000. This graphic is a bit behind.

View attachment 1165651

My guess is that the U.S. is maintaining a torrid growth rate at least in part because testing is (s-l-o-w-l-y) ramping up, discovering cases with milder symptoms but who are transmitting the virus to others. We're going to blow past China in total cases before this time next week. Our health care system will not be able to keep up. Italy (or worse) is our near-term future. Those (like me) hoping for a South Korea-like trajectory can now see that isn't going to happen.

More on the U.S. testing SNAFU.

Still wondering how Germany has so many cases (a few more than the U.S.) but so few deaths (about 1/4 of the U.S).

 

[SGK]

But testing is only just getting started in the US. Germany is doing massive testing - up to 200,000 a day. Death rates rocket once the healthcare system hits overload. Deaths in Spain up 25% in a day.

The really big advantage the US has is that it is late to the 'party'. Even though it has been slow to recognize the problem and react accordingly and large parts of the population are still in denial, it - hopefully - has the capacity to ramp production of necessary hospital equipment. But those on the front line haven't been helped by senior most leadership. We need to do better. Look at L'Oreal in France making the decision to switch perfume production to hand sanitizer, a decision taken in 24 hrs. The US needs to repurpose production. But that requires (at least some) labour. Factories ramp into high speed in times of war. With a virus they crash to a halt.

I really hope you lose your bet.

 

[Toby Bradshaw]

But testing is only just getting started in the US. Germany is doing massive testing - up to 200,000 a day.

That would explain a lot. Too bad we didn't take Germany up on their offer to send us hundreds of thousands of test kits weeks ago.

 

[SGK]

EDIT 160,000 a day ramping to 200,000

FT subscriber link:

https://www.ft.com/content/c0755b30-69bb-11ea-800d-da70cff6e4d3?shareType=nongift

 

[Toby Bradshaw]

I really hope you lose your bet.

You and me both. But the U.S. response at all levels (federal, state, local, individual) makes me think that I'll be collecting early. A third of Italy's health care workers are now infected. The same thing is going to happen here.

 

[SGK]

An interesting snippet from today. Florida's governor has banned all elective - non-emergency - dentistry effective yesterday. Why? Principally to conserve protective equipment used by the medical fraternity which is rapidly becoming in short supply.

 

[SGK]

From last Sunday morning:

Take roughly 3000 confirmed cases in the US today and compound that at 33% per day which is more or less the trajectory exhibited by most countries. In a week from now you have more than 22,000. In two weeks 165,000.

US confirmed cases have hit 24,148.

(Italy 53,578 with 4,825 deaths. The army is having to be used to transport coffins. Kia kaha Italia.)

 

[spclark]

From last Sunday morning:
US confirmed cases have hit 24,148.

(Taken off the CDC website just now, taking note of their caveat: "In the event of a discrepancy between CDC cases and cases reported by state and local public health officials, data reported by states should be considered the most up to date." so it's gonna be hard knowing exactly how steep the curve is at any future point in time.)

 

[INTJ]

I am so tired of the hype. We are being stupid about all this. We should absolutely be cautious, severely quarantine the most at risk, practice social distancing, and work on meds and vaccines. However, if we are quarantined on national level much more than 2-3 weeks we risk a depression, which will have much greater impact than COVID-19. If no one one knew about the Wuhan Virus, at the end of the flu season all we would have noticed is that it was a tougher flu season than normal.

https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2020/03/a-data-driven-look-at-the-wuhan-coronavirus.php

https://medium.com/six-four-six-nine/evidence-over-hysteria-covid-19-1b767def5894

https://thefederalist.com/2020/03/1...depression-outweigh-the-risks-of-coronavirus/

 

[SGK]

If no one one knew about the Wuhan Virus, at the end of the flu season all we would have noticed is that it was a tougher flu season than normal.

Do you think people in Italy would feel that way? You don't think more deaths in just 3 weeks than road deaths over the entire year (3,325 in 2018) wouldn't have sparked some questions?

And, yes, the extraordinary measures needed to combat something like this have a big economic impact. And that's why state and central bank action is so important. The alternative is millions dead.