COVID-19 Map worldwide, with statistics

[SGK]

Current expectations for vaccine availability for general public deployment are for late summer/fall next year. We might see a limited emergency use approval late this year for frontline workers at best.

 

[Sweetyzfd]

My God, you have just described the worst nightmare of everyone who is actually sane.

Sadly the bozo's who desire this, will get what they deserve, and apparently desire -- as will the rest of us who don't deserve or desire it. jd

Won’t be any need for this site after that. Guns will be gone....quickly

 

[Brians356]

Won’t be any need for this site after that. Guns will be gone....quickly

That's the spirit! You go!
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[Brians356]

Current expectations for vaccine availability for general public deployment are for late summer/fall next year.

Gosh, not months then, but years - 1.2 of 'em. Darn. Obviously markets suffered under unrealistic expectations until two days ago.
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[SGK]

Your understanding of markets is extremely limited

 

[JimT]

Current expectations for vaccine availability for general public deployment are for late summer/fall next year. We might see a limited emergency use approval late this year for frontline workers at best.

Maybe not.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bl...als-moving-fast-with-final-study-set-for-july

 

[SGK]

Yes that is consistent with broad public availability late summer / fall next year. They’re not the only one. There will need to be multiple vaccines available given the need.

PS Candidate vaccines are being developed using both “traditional” methods and unproven new processes. Moderna is one of the companies using new unproven methods to develop a vaccine. The good news is govt and private donor funding is available for building manufacturing capability ahead of proof of vaccine viability. The argument is that incurring the expenditure now is worth it even if the vaccine fails and the expenditure has to be written off in part or fully.

 

[JimT]

So investors suddenly concluded Biden will win, and the Senate flip? That two-month rally happened while they were delusional, but now they're clearheaded. Everything rides on which dunces are in the majority. Got it.

The stock market is a discounting mechanism of future expectations, looking ahead six to nine months. The economy couldn't have been stronger when the virus hit. You'd be hard pressed to find a single person who doesn't expect a vaccine in a matter of months. Nearly all new cases are traceable, i.e. there's very little random "community spread" which was the great fear. It's too easy for the sideline pundits to ignore certain positives and magnify the worst possibilities, but institutional investors

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cn...tion-sell-off-fearing-a-democratic-sweep.html

 

[Brians356]

Your understanding of markets is extremely limited

Perhaps. Still, more than sufficient, let's just say, as it's turned out. ;-)
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[Dgd6mm]

We're doomed !!!! Ha....

 

[Bc'z]

 

[Bc'z]

 

[muleman69]

View attachment 1184638

Funny,have not heard that in a while

 

[SGK]

Interesting article on how the New Orleans health department thoughtfully reacted to the COVID threat

https://www.ft.com/content/32f297e0-45d9-4dd3-a028-868e698dc66f

 

[Brians356]

Interesting article on how the New Orleans health department thoughtfully reacted to the COVID threat

https://www.ft.com/content/32f297e0-45d9-4dd3-a028-868e698dc66f

Paywalled.
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[Brians356]

Since 21 May (25 days ago) the growth in new Covid-19 deaths in the US has been 1.01x per day (1 day at 1.02x, 1 day at 1.00x, 23 days at 1.01x).
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The actual daily growth in deaths is about 0.66% but is declining. If it stayed 0.66% the doubling time is ~105 days. We reached 100,000 on 27 May, so from there 200,000 would come around 5 Sep.
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[Brians356]

PS does anyone know the special significance of growth rate 1.35x which is denoted for reference on these graphs as a dashed line?

PPS 1.35x daily = 35% daily growth rate, which has a doubling time of 2 days ("Rule of 70" approx.).
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[Brians356]

Today's increase of 22k vs a previous number of 2.066 million is a 1.1% increase in confirmed cases though.

Yeah, I was wrong about that, 1.1% is the same as Johns-Hopkins' "1.01x" (rounded down from 1.011x). It suggests that if the increase were 1.5% then Johns-Hopkins would round up to "1.02x" which is borne out in their publications to date.
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[Brians356]

On 24 April, the Covid-19 deaths per day (1-wk average) peaked in the US West region. The US Northeast region peaked a few days earlier. Normalized for population (per capita) the Northeast's residents were 14.5x more likely to die from Covid-19 than in the West. Yesterday, 14 June, the Northeasterner was 3x more likely to die from Covid-19.

The graph below also illustrates the recent "surge" in the Northeast is (so far) about 2x as pronounced as in the West. (New York State, 30x times as deadly as the West at peak, also shown for reference.)
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Here's the detail view (last 4 weeks) of Covid-19 deaths per day (1-wk average) for the 4 US regions.
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[INTJ]

"That doesn’t give us an “end” to Covid-19 as a disease, which picked up new life when the Southern Hemisphere turned cooler. But it signals that like all epidemics before it, it is indeed following the essentially symmetrical curve of “Farr’s Law” and will continue downward until it reaches its “endemic” phase. "

https://justthenews.com/politics-po...-covid-19-might-be-his-worst-its-sure-not-his