Corona virus delivered to your door?

[338 dude]

Most likely you'll get it. Most likely you'll be fine. Many won't be. Currently it is early days in the US - a mere 1,663 recorded cases and only 40 dead. 2.4%. Now imagine if the same number of people who get the flu get Covid 19 which is not at all unlikely given its transmission and symptom pattern. Do the math.

Better to just get it over with. Like the measles and mumps in the old days. Once you know one person with it, gather everyone else around and place them all in the same room. A few weeks later you'd have some good statistical info.

 

[newbieshooter]

How many remember the 2009-2010 H1N1 pandemic? US deaths = 12, 469, over 500 million deaths world wide, I dont recall this kind of panic, the difference? A President that the media liked, your chances of dying in a car accident today is about 1 in 77 but that doesn't stop any of us from driving, the media is trying to infect us with panic and panic will do much more harm to the country than this virus will ever do.

500 million seems to be typo? I see the top estimate to be 575K worldwide here.
...but you are correct - I don't remember too much about the H1N1 pandemic

 

[Nick Caprinolo]

Dhhhhhnnnttt! Wrong answer. Calculate the number of deaths divided by number of confirmed cases.

https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

You are right, and I edited my post. Actual death rate is .001%

 

[gme]

500 million seems to be typo? I see the top estimate to be 575K worldwide here.
...but you are correct - I don't remember too much about the H1N1 pandemic

Thanks yes i meant 500K

 

[SGK]

You are right, and I edited my post. Actual death rate is .001%

still not even close

 

[Adam in WI]

If it lasts until tick season, we'll have Corona with Lyme...

 

[m500]

 

[Nick Caprinolo]

still not even close

If my numbers are not right, then please enlighten us with the correct numbers and your source of information.

Otherwise your objections to my statistics are meaningless.

 

[Falfan2017]

Some people claim it’s no big deal others claim it’s the end of the world as we know it and are buying 3 years worth of toilet paper. I think the truth will be somewhere in the middle.
Here’s a link with up to date numbers
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

The death rate on there is 7%. That’s going to be artificially high because they aren’t testing mild cases in most countries so the true number of infections is much higher than reported.
This video explains the cause for concern unless something takes it off its current path of rapidly expanding infections

it’s doesn’t seem like a big deal until it is.
The concern is something that spreads like swine flu and infects 70 million Americans but had a kill rate of 0.5 - 2% And a hospitalization rate of 10%. This is 7m hospitalizations which if happens quickly would overwhelm the hospital system. This could lead to a higher death rate on the 2% side which could mean 1.4m dead in the US which would be the number one killer with no close second.
yes most of those dead are over the age of 65 and with underlying health issues but how many folks do you know and care about that are over the age of 65 and have underlying health issues? I can think of a few in my life.

 

[SGK]

If my numbers are not right, then please enlighten us with the correct numbers and your source of information.

Otherwise your objections to my statistics are meaningless.

https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

I will let you do the division and convert to a percentage

 

[SGK]

Note the logarithmic scale on the vertical axis

 

[Nick Caprinolo]

https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

I will let you do the division and convert to a percentage

Believe what you like. The web site you quote has no date of publication. My numbers are up to date as of this morning.

You are being arbitrary for some unknown reason. Check several other sites against the one you quote. I have and am satisfied my results are accurate.

 

[kneedtospeed]

Hillbilly TP shortage solution.

 

[SGK]

bottom left corner

 

[SGK]

Believe what you like. The web site you quote has no date of publication. My numbers are up to date as of this morning.

You are being arbitrary for some unknown reason. Check several other sites against the one you quote. I have and am satisfied my results are accurate.

good on you but you are hopelessly wrong

 

[Nick Caprinolo]

good on you but you are hopelessly wrong

OK I am wrong in your mind. I suspect you do not know the math or you would quote the correct numbers, instead of continually arguing with me.

This argument is on it's way to becoming ugly, so I will no longer converse with you about the subject. In my world, you no longer exist.

 

[Nick Caprinolo]

good on you but you are hopelessly wrong

 

[SGK]

Whatever. I gave you a source which is data compiled by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering at Johns Hopkins University. In the bottom left corner you will see the date and time as of which the data was last compiled. They also provide their data sources. For each country you can see the number of confirmed cases, the number of deaths and the number of people recovered.

 

[GotRDid]

They say you can make your own hand sanitizer with 60% alcohol, so that's 120 proof I assume .

Ray

GotRDid.

 

[GotRDid]

Man up, stop worrying.
It's just the latest dumocrap hoax, to try to destroy the best economy in history. What else can they run on, short of shooting up more schools again? View attachment 1164001I wouldn't mind catching it !

GotRDid.