For generations, the Army and more significantly the Marine Corps assess a rifleman’s potential for “specialized” infantry, presently and into the future, rather quickly and conclusively.
This would suggest that a great deal of tests is not “statistically” necessary, and also that rarely if ever does a pretty good shooter practice his way to the top, so the military is basically saying both Brian Litz’ large sample theory, and the match aspirations of guys like me, are both equally out of luck.
The left side of my brain says the military is absolutely correct on both counts. Indeed, talent surfaces early on in competitive matches, and remains. But the right side of my brain doesn’t care, and is going to shoot its best matches whatever they are til dead.