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COVID-19 Map worldwide, with statistics

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While the cases of Covid 19 are going up I find it interesting that the media chooses not to mention the fact that deaths from Covid 19 have been dropping steadily since the week of April 18 at 16,373 deaths to last week reported June 27 at 313 deaths. As has been mentioned hospitalizations may be up but deaths are down significantly; yet I have not heard this statistic mentioned at all; fwiw.
 
While the cases of Covid 19 are going up I find it interesting that the media chooses not to mention the fact that deaths from Covid 19 have been dropping steadily since the week of April 18 at 16,373 deaths to last week reported June 27 at 313 deaths. As has been mentioned hospitalizations may be up but deaths are down significantly; yet I have not heard this statistic mentioned at all; fwiw.

That just doesn’t fit their agenda......
 
While the cases of Covid 19 are going up I find it interesting that the media chooses not to mention the fact that deaths from Covid 19 have been dropping steadily since the week of April 18 at 16,373 deaths to last week reported June 27 at 313 deaths. As has been mentioned hospitalizations may be up but deaths are down significantly; yet I have not heard this statistic mentioned at all; fwiw.
You've got to consider that NY/NJ/CT were so horribly deadly back then, but have since dropped a cliff (maybe they finally ran out of elderly?), so that the USA on the whole was bound to be a lot less deadly. Yes, treatments have improved, but that isn't the whole explanation.
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Positivity rates continue to climb in FL

Screen Shot 2020-07-06 at 2.48.19 PM.png


Median age of new confirmed cases is currently 38 versus a cumulative median age of 40.

A number of hospitals in the Tampa area, for example, have reached max ICU capacity. My contacts at Baptist mention a surge in their COVID hospitalizations lagging, of course, the steady surge in confirmed cases since 'reopening'. Gyms and restaurants in Miami-Dade have now been ordered to shut again.

Thankfully we're doing better on deaths, at least so far.

Screen Shot 2020-07-06 at 2.54.38 PM.png

Latest antibody testing data from FDOH still shows only low levels.

http://ww11.doh.state.fl.us/comm/_partners/covid19_report_archive/serology_latest.pdf
 
I wish every state published this level of detail. Two things stand out for me: The surge capacity available, and that currently 42% of ICU usage is Covid-19. We forget how many ICU patients there are under normal conditions. Many elective surgeries were postponed and stacking up, then a surge of sorts resulted as hospitals came out of lockdown mode. Also cancers etc not discovered when routine health screenings were suspended, or people with cancer or cardio symptoms chose not to seek immediate attention.
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The flip side is people thinking that the non-COVID ICU utilization is elective/discretionary. ICU is rarely elective at all - obviously. Halting elective procedures, as Texas has had to do in many areas, frees up general bed capacity. The good news is that hospitals, especially private hospitals, are relatively good at operating near full capacity. (A bed that's empty for a night is a revenue opportunity that will never be recouped and a cost that will never be recovered.) It's when things move into surge conditions (and, worse, beyond) that things get truly chaotic. I'm sure everyone behaved responsibly over the long weekend and we won't see further pressure on healthcare infrastructure in 2-3 weeks' time.
 
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For perspective, here is data for the US from 2017.

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/deaths.htm

  • Number of deaths: 2,813,503
  • Death rate: 863.8 deaths per 100,000 population
  • Life expectancy: 78.6 years
  • Infant Mortality rate: 5.79 deaths per 1,000 live births

Number of deaths for leading causes of death:
  • Heart disease: 647,457
  • Cancer: 599,108
  • Accidents (unintentional injuries): 169,936
  • Chronic lower respiratory diseases: 160,201
  • Stroke (cerebrovascular diseases): 146,383
  • Alzheimer’s disease: 121,404
  • Diabetes: 83,564
  • Influenza and Pneumonia: 55,672
  • Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome and nephrosis: 50,633
  • Intentional self-harm (suicide): 47,173

So out of nowhere, and in just a few months so far, COVID has emerged as the 6th biggest cause of death. In some states, it alone has caused a rate of death which exceeds the 2017 death rate per million pop for the country as a whole from all causes of death. Not a little shock already and it is far from over. It will comfortably take third place for 2020 even with all the NPI that have taken place so far and remain in place to check its behavior. Yes, lots of people die each year, but is it unusual for something new to capture such market share so quickly. Rather impressive little thing.
 
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So out of nowhere, and in just a few months so far, COVID has emerged as the 6th biggest cause of death. In some states, it alone has caused a rate of death which exceeds the 2017 death rate per million pop for the country as a whole from all causes of death. Not a little shock already and it is far from over. It will comfortably take third place for 2020 even with all the NPI that have taken place so far and remain in place. Yes, lots of people die each year, but is it unusual for something new to capture such market share so quickly. Rather impressive little thing.

That'd be New York and New Jersey where they killed off all the old folks. Proof positive that stupidity costs lives. If there were a state based Darwin Award, they'd win hands down.
 
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Five states already have a death rate of greater than 864/1M. They were just first in line. Those further back 'learnt to be more careful sticking their heads above the parapet.' If anything, the last to die are likely the most stupid for they had the greatest opportunity to learn from others. If 'ground zero' for the US had been Sumter County the results would likely have been much worse than NY and there'd be a lot of used golf carts for sale on eBay. But, yes, the US should have learnt a lot more from the likes of Italy rather than waiting for the sh*t to hit on home soil.
 
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Let's just say I fully expect the surge to continue :eek:

Florida takes third place in total confirmed cases...
 
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This surge in cases seems about right for the protests and riots to be a contributing factor. I don't mind the mandate to wear masks indoors in public. I think that helps some.
 
Then why no surge in NY? No demonstrations there?

I think they had so many cases initially because it went through a much bigger portion of those who are going to get it. Remember, all the measures we are taking does not reduce the number of cases, it just generally spreads them out over a longer time. We still have to reach the endemic phase, and no amount of social distancing or shutdowns will effect the final number....unless we can deploy a vaccine soon.
 
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I hear South Floridians are striving for #1.

Florida is still well down the list. According to Johns Hopkins NY, NJ, MA, IL, PA, CA, MI and CT lead FL by a long ways.

We're certainly gunning for #1 in confirmed cases. On deaths we'll try to conserve a few bods although daily hospitalizations of 250 people isn't sustainable. Texas isn't giving up the bronze medal easily.


PS: I see a bunch of hospital beds just opened up in Arizona...
 
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