• This Forum is for adults 18 years of age or over. By continuing to use this Forum you are confirming that you are 18 or older. No content shall be viewed by any person under 18 in California.

COVID-19 Map worldwide, with statistics

Status
Not open for further replies.
Covid-19 Hospitalizations, past 4 weeks, through 29 June.

Florida:
Previous week: 1.01x growth / day (1%)
Previous 78 days: 1.02x growth / day (2%)

91-DIVOC-states-hospFlorida (2).jpg
-
 
Last edited:
Covid-19 Hospitalizations, past 4 weeks, through 29 June.

Florida:
Previous week: 1.01x growth / day (1%)
Previous 78 days: 1.02x growth / day (2%)

(You will find it easier to change the Y axis to linear as, thankfully, we are not yet seeing exponential growth in hospitalizations.)

Florida: 40% growth over the last 28 days in number of hospitalizations. As you know, I asked FDOH why they don't track discharges (either as a result of recovery, partial or full, or death) as a more relevant statistic is the number of people currently hospitalized rather than cumulative admissions. They said they don't 'because there is no agreed definition of recovered.'

The chart I posted has the 7 day MA which is useful in identifying trends in volatile data.

There are some seemingly minor differences in the data for each, possibly because when FDOH publishes its report it each day also revises historical data. Presumably this is because the data is continuously scrubbed and updated.

Quite a cool website though.

(I'm still waiting for the pic of Ron cowering in the corner of his darkened room :eek:)
 
Let's look at 2017/2018, one of the worst recent flu years. The CDC estimates 61,000 people died from the 'flu (95% UI of 46,000 to 95,000). That's 0.019% of the estimated 2018 US population (327.2 million) or 186.4 deaths per million.
And that was with perhaps most adults getting a flu vaccination. According to an NORC poll taken on Dec 6, 2018 43% of adults had been vaccinated and 14% plan to receive a flu shot. For the 2019/2020 season, CDC said in April as many as 162 million to 169 million doses of influenza vaccine would be produced.
-
 
And that was with perhaps most adults getting a flu vaccination. According to an NORC poll taken on Dec 6, 2018 43% of adults had been vaccinated and 14% plan to receive a flu shot. For the 2019/2020 season, CDC said in April as many as 162 million to 169 million doses of influenza vaccine would be produced.

Roughly 80% of the US population is adult, circa 265 million people. More people should get the vaccine each year.

Covid death rate for the US excluding NY/NJ/CT is 254 per 1 million population. FWIW.

So even if we ignore the worst hit states -so far - the death burden of COVID already outstrips the worst flu in many years.
 
The biggest scare tactic in all this is the breathless media reporting without context. I want to see the same tracking for the flu and all infectious diseases and behavior indices deaths like drugs and alcohol.

The reason we are not getting such context is purely political.

COVID-19, even without a vaccine, is manageable without reverting to shutdowns. Masks might have some benefit, social distancing is a must, and the vulnerable must be protected.

If the vulnerable are protected, then the increased infection rate is not a big deal when 90% of the people have zero to mild symptoms. It does not warrant increased shut downs and authoritarian actions by governors.
 
Anyone ever get a flu shot and still contract the flu?
Of course, and I know more than one person who has recently. Your doctor will never tell you it's infallible. But, if roughly half the population has been vaccinated, that will definitely be a check a contagion. It's not unlikely annual flu deaths in recent years might have been doubled without vaccines.
-
 
Post a pic
(You will find it easier to change the Y axis to linear as, thankfully, we are not yet seeing exponential growth in hospitalizations.)

Florida: 40% growth over the last 28 days in number of hospitalizations. As you know, I asked FDOH why they don't track discharges (either as a result of recovery, partial or full, or death) as a more relevant statistic is the number of people currently hospitalized rather than cumulative admissions. They said they don't 'because there is no agreed definition of recovered.'

The chart I posted has the 7 day MA which is useful in identifying trends in volatile data.

There are some seemingly minor differences in the data for each, possibly because when FDOH publishes its report it each day also revises historical data. Presumably this is because the data is continuously scrubbed and updated.

Quite a cool website though.

(I'm still waiting for the pic of Ron cowering in the corner of his darkened room :eek:)

I think Ron was referring to your facsimile.
 
Doctors are essentially advisers, they provide one set of inputs from which to make informed decisions. They advocate for their patients from a medical perspective. But life is more than just a medical endeavor...
 
Hmmmm... I wonder how the odds of catching and dying from this virus would stack up against any ONE of the common causes of mortality - such as smoking, drinking, no seatbelt, even moderate obesity, lack of exercise, over exposure to sun, stressful job or family life, --- the list goes on.

I've always thought it ironic when you meet someone who beats the drum against something like say, GMO produce for instance, but is guilty of two or three of the lifestyle risks listed above. jd
 
Hmmmm... I wonder how the odds of catching and dying from this virus would stack up against any ONE of the common causes of mortality - such as smoking, drinking, no seatbelt, even moderate obesity, lack of exercise, over exposure to sun, stressful job or family life, --- the list goes on.

I've always thought it ironic when you meet someone who beats the drum against something like say, GMO produce for instance, but is guilty of two or three of the lifestyle risks listed above. jd

So many things trying to kill us that it is difficult to keep tract. Think I'll have a big fat steak, a beer and a smoke on the 4th to celebrate and cogitate the latest threat to humanity sitting on the horizon:

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/30/dr-...raits-of-2009-h1n1-and-1918-pandemic-flu.html
 
Conrad Black yesterday wrote: "Only about one person in 7,000 under the age of 65 and in good health is in danger of dying from the coronavirus, and over 90 percent of people of all ages have minimal or no symptoms of the illness when they contract it." If anyone here can disprove his assertions, please do. I cannot.

Here is a recent update on the long-term care (LTC) facilities' Covid deaths. Note that in New Jersey, there have been 1,134 Covid-19 death for every 10,100 LTC residents. That's over 10% if my arithmetic serves - of all residents! The worst of other states: MA 9.5%, CT 9.3%, DE 7.4%, RI 6.7%, LA 5%.

https://freopp.org/the-covid-19-nursing-home-crisis-by-the-numbers-3a47433c3f70
-
 
Last edited:
BREAKING NEWS!!! Here in Oregon this morning. THREE MORE COVID DEATHS!!! (Not sure for what period of time) It puts Oregon's death total at 205 I think.

News doesn't notice deaths, except by Covid 19. Doesn't seem to be any deaths caused by shootings, knifings, car wrecks, drug overdose, suicide, cancer, heart disease, drownings, or any other causes worth mentioning.

Of course being Oregon, where an incredibly small portion of the state is over-populated by an incredibly large number of dumb asses, Governor Kate Brown instituted a mandatory mask requirement. (state wide):rolleyes:

Ah hell, I was gonna keep rolling with this post, but everything I could possibly say would take a downhill slide. Think I'd better call it a wrap. jd
 
Only 205 deaths in Orygun? Shoot, that's the number of deaths in a single NY City block.

Nevada (here) just got quarantined by Andy "What, me worry?" Cuomo. Yet I know no one who's caught Covid-19, nor do I know anyone who knows anyone who's caught it. And I've lived here 47 years. Knock wood, but there it is.

Also quarantined was Idaho, where I'm from (92 deaths). News for Cuomo: Nobody in Idaho would have been beating down your door anyway, especially since Yankee Stadium is shuttered. (Idaho is baseball country, and host of the NAIA College World Series in Lewiston.)
-
 
Last edited:
Status
Not open for further replies.

Upgrades & Donations

This Forum's expenses are primarily paid by member contributions. You can upgrade your Forum membership in seconds. Gold and Silver members get unlimited FREE classifieds for one year. Gold members can upload custom avatars.


Click Upgrade Membership Button ABOVE to get Gold or Silver Status.

You can also donate any amount, large or small, with the button below. Include your Forum Name in the PayPal Notes field.


To DONATE by CHECK, or make a recurring donation, CLICK HERE to learn how.

Forum statistics

Threads
165,847
Messages
2,204,082
Members
79,148
Latest member
tsteinmetz
Back
Top