I keep up with the UK news and still prefer Radio X over anything in the US. (I'm not at all suggesting that station is a news station - but Johnny Vaughn is brilliant.) Most of my friends are in London. And, yes, last weekend was beyond ridiculous. I loved it when one friend, who is in lockdown in London, summarized for the millennials Johnson's recent speech: "Stay at home you twats!"
Mortality rates calculated from confirmed cases are of course subject to the amount of testing which has been woeful in both the UK and the US. Hence estimates such as those by Dr Neil Ferguson for eventual overall mortality are dramatically lower. Early mortality rates do, however, reflect the chilling, rather decent probability of death of those in hospital now depending on age. And when the healthcare system is overrun and has to ration ventilators, things get worse. NY state is getting slammed with already 23,000 confirmed cases. I haven't heard how many of those cases are in hospital and of those how many need intensive care. But apparently New York only has circa 6000 ventilators.
According to the FT, China began lockdown procedures at circa 30 deaths. A lot of the rest of the world has waited too long.
Mortality rates calculated from confirmed cases are of course subject to the amount of testing which has been woeful in both the UK and the US. Hence estimates such as those by Dr Neil Ferguson for eventual overall mortality are dramatically lower. Early mortality rates do, however, reflect the chilling, rather decent probability of death of those in hospital now depending on age. And when the healthcare system is overrun and has to ration ventilators, things get worse. NY state is getting slammed with already 23,000 confirmed cases. I haven't heard how many of those cases are in hospital and of those how many need intensive care. But apparently New York only has circa 6000 ventilators.
According to the FT, China began lockdown procedures at circa 30 deaths. A lot of the rest of the world has waited too long.