Very true.As long as theirs conflicts around the world the powder situation won't get any better.
Why would they spend the money and resources to bottle up 1lb or 8lb containers
when you could sell pallet loads to governments, plus a lot of them have contracts
that have to be fulfilled first.
Every time you you pull the lanyard on a 155 howitzer, about 20+ pounds of very large extruded stick powder goes out the end of the tube. Never mind all the other ordnance and boom stuff getting fired off.
Nitrocellulose supply chains were already getting tight before all this started. Western nations let munition supply and manufacturing capabilities slowly wither for decades. So much has been lost and now has to be rebuilt. That scramble is just beginning.
Ditto for copper, tin, etc. Even humble lead and zinc. Not "powder", but equally important to our "special" needs. Think about how much copper goes into electric cars and related tech. That ain't going away.
I don't see demand slowly for any of this stuff anytime soon. All we can do it adapt, bite the bullet if our pocket books can handle it. Cut back, refocus, narrow down to essential reloading/shooting needs.
But times change, crises will come and go. Who knows, maybe things will calm down and there will be peace on earth...then we can buy surplus howitzer powder out of a barrel by the scoop at local hardware store.