You've only got a small population to begin with. Of the set of shooters around, how many of them like to be serious when they're shooting? How many of that group like or want competition? This already gets you down to a pretty small percentage of shooters.
Here is where Paul's oft-maligned efforts kick in: Out of that small group of shooters, how many are precision gearheads and how many are willing to afford the initial equipment costs and pay the maintenance costs of a competitive rifle?,Don't get me wrong, there's no negative connotation implied when I say "precision gearhead." It's just that so much of the effort in all bench disciplines revolves around the equipment.)
I strongly believe that Paul is on the right track with his efforts towards an out-of-the-box bench rifle. However, I think it'd need a lot of support to succeed. First, every club should have at least one on hand for a new shooter just like High Power clubs keep service rifles on hand. Of course, you'd also need to have all the other gear available,rests, wind flags, etc.). Second, there should be a class on equal standing with every other class of rifle, including awarding HOF points. The second one is probably the most critical 'cause this is the only way you'd really get any reliable support for it.
I'll give you a case in point since I'm a potential new shooter who has more or less opted to not compete in long-range bench: I shot High Power on one of the military teams for a few years until I had to start focusing more on job and less on hobby. After a long hiatus, hanging out with my brother got me interested in shooting again. Recently, I even decided that I wanted to compete again and assembled all the components for a long-range rifle that is now just waiting for my wallet to recover from other projects before I get it built.
For the last couple of years, I've been hanging out at BR Central and here, learning everything I can since no one is going to give me equipment and bullets this time. I spend almost no time on any of the High Power boards. However, when I chose to build a rifle, it wasn't for bench, it was for High Power.
I didn't choose High Power simply because it was something I knew, it was because it allows me to focus on the challenges that I enjoy the most: sight alignment, trigger control, and reading the conditions. With bench disciplines,in my completely inexperienced opinion), too much of the focus seems to be on things I just don't really have any interest in. I don't consider myself to be in the set of precision gearheads when it comes to shooting.
But let's break it down another way: Out of the set of shooters who like and want competition, how many are willing and interested in testing themselves shooting at ranges they'd never even conceived of,even 600 yards is a looonngg way for a lot of people). It's a pretty small set.
One interesting data point is comparing the number of shooters that compete in the 'cross-the-course High Power Nationals versus the number that compete in the Long Range High Power Nationals--back-to-back matches,at least they were). If I were more ambitious, I'd go look up the numbers, but I'd guess it's probably on the order of 10% of the shooters that remain for the long-range matches.
Finally, I've often thought about shooter classes in BR like High Power has,one of the ways to address the immediate gratification point that JER brought up on the related thread), but I'm not sure that they really attract new shooters. I just can't say on this topic 'cause I only have my personal experiences to go on. I know that a lot of people are happy when they get their 1st Place Master plaque and the like. But for me, it was nothing more than a reminder that I lost, so I tossed them all,I did keep the NRA dollars, however).