I think the issue here6DOF would be the holy grail. They are all point mass solvers for intervals along a projectiles motion. So for some interval, maybe every .01 ft, you solve the equations of motion for a body. Dump them into an array and graph them. 6DOF would have every input acting on a body and you would think it would have to be perfect. Problem is, you don't necessarily have inputs for yaw, pitch and roll. We're solving a simple equation with 3DOF and it gets you close, it doesn't absolutely model anything. So use more computing power...............or fire another shot. Never designed for you to punch in some numbers and make a first round hit on the bullseye. Unless your bullseye is the size of a town. Think of the wind drift side, you input a single vector that you have determined some magnitude and direction. You ever watch smoke? How many variables in wind do you think there are between the muzzle and target. Nothing but a WAG (wild-ass-guess). If you use instruments along the way, then it's SWAG.
To see the guys at the Tackdriver shoot sub 0.25 moa groups @ 330 yards. is bordering on sorcery and magic. Lots of experience.
I think another big issue is that even if two rifles fire the same bullet, from the same lot, at the same muzzle velocity, you’re still going to get differences downrange. A bullet engraved by 4-groove rifling isn’t going to behave exactly the same as one engraved by 6-groove rifling. Tiny variations in launch dynamics—engraving forces, bore diameter, muzzle crown uniformity, barrel harmonics, how the muzzle blast pushes the bullet for the first few inches, and variations in the bullets themselves—all add up.Maybe, Im no expert on that. But the thing Im talking about seems very hard to predict. Different stability based on tune thats changing through out the day or barrels life. And not all barrels can achieve the same level of stability. Thats why theres hummers. Seems like an impossible thing to predict. Outside of the BR world most will deny this is even true.
Even in a vacuum chamber you still couldn’t perfectly model this, because many of these variations happen during launch, not during flight. Barrel whip, the exact instant of muzzle exit, the alignment of the bullet as it leaves the bore, and how the muzzle blast imparts its last bit of momentum are all unmeasurable on a shot-to-shot basis.
Once the error in your external ballistics model drops below the magnitude of those physical variations, further refining the model doesn’t help, because other sources of scatter overwhelm it. When you have multiple independent sources of variation, their uncertainties combine in a way where reducing just one of them barely affects the total. That’s why chasing tiny refinements in the model can’t compensate for much larger real-world variations.
Unless you’re shooting in a perfectly controlled environment—with zero wind and perfectly repeatable launch conditions—the atmosphere and the rifle itself introduce far more variability than any subtle improvement in the drag model can overcome. More exact models demand more exact inputs, and most of those inputs simply can’t be measured in the field (or in the lab.)
Even inter-planetary spacecraft, which actually do fly in a near vacuum, still require periodic course corrections. Tiny forces like solar radiation pressure, thermal asymmetries, and minute gas venting accumulate over time. If their trajectories drift despite near-perfect conditions, it’s easy to see why bullets drifting through a turbulent atmosphere are even less predictable.









