Time and again shooting subsonic centerfire, you see one hole 50 yards groups, turn into 6” vertical strings 1” wide at 200 yards. Looking at ballistic calculators you often see 10 fps ES accounting for at least half of that vertical.
As bullet quality drops from match grade to bulk cast, horizontal and vertical dispersion always seems to grow with little tangible explanation other than bullet quality.
Applying precision rimfire and air rifle thinking to centerfire subsonic shooting was a big help in shrinking groups. Being able to use quality bullets at subsonic speeds I think adds substance to many of the things you mention.
Some of the best centerfire subsonic bullets seem to also be ones known to be very stable passing through the trans-sonic speeds at distance. Example being bullets designed for Palma class.
These are just observations on thousands of rounds.
I tend to think we shouldn't experience as much dispersion as you reported unless the bulk jacketed have very poor quality control which is certainly possible. Bulk cast bullets however would likely be a different matter, but I'm stumped concerning why the groups you reported would have so little horizontal dispersion vs vertical, and there's little or no technical literature on the subject, nor have I ever tested beyond 100M.
Based on your comments I'm guessing you're aware of the horror stories associated with the SMK that was originally designed for Olympic 300M competition, and the calamities that occurred when gobs of shooters tried them in Palma and long range CFBR. Even though gyroscopic or rotational stability was adequate, lousy shot distributions and keyholing were the results due to very poor "Dynamic" stability.
So, it may be possible a combination of Cg Offset combined with the "Dynamic", as opposed to the "Gyroscopic" stability, could cause the dispersion you're seeing.
A little more info from previous comments I made:
The non-linear growth in group ES for the 158 samples at the distances of 50M and 100M resulted in a ratio of 2.81. In other words the average growth for a group of 1" at 50M grew to 2.81" at 100M. But, there were actually 14 of the 158 groups where the angular measurements or MOA decreased at 100M. I also saw examples of horizontal strings at 50 turn into vertical strings at 100, but on average, vertical at 50 was much more pronounced at 100.
I'm afraid there's no way to put a cap on a discussion of this nature unless someone is able to build the instrumentation to "statically" or "dynamically" calculate Cg Offsets as Harold Vaughn did and test. Unfortunately, to the best of my knowledge, I'm not aware of anyone who has been successful at that endeavor.
It wouldn't be all that hard with jacketed projectiles, but with RF or cast it not only would be very difficult, it would only be of limited usefulness because the act of obteration of the bullet at ignition as well as it travelling the length of the bore will likely change any characteristics we measured.
This would be a good time to make my usual disclaimers when attempting to discuss subjects that are so much more complex than most realize. I'm self-taught in everything I do regarding ballistics/statistics, and that means I'm more susceptible to making mistakes than the professionals are.
I don't believe anything I read on internet forums and I'm not sure anyone else should either. Unless you have a great deal of experience combined with at least some technical expertise, it's literally impossible to separate the BS from the good stuff.
Landy