COVID-19 Map worldwide, with statistics
- Thread starter DIBBS
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Brians356
Gold $$ Contributor
Nope, he's wearing an ascot, but too high.
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Doesn't seem to mind taking on things that challenge his skills. Maybe someone will invite him to do a pre-game skydive...
https://gellerreport.com/2020/04/deep-state-fauci.html/
https://gellerreport.com/2020/04/deep-state-fauci.html/
Such an ungrateful nation. In almost any private sector role he would - and should - have told his conman boss to shove it.
There's a very good likelihood you will win your bet before the end of the 3rd quarter. And then comes fall/winter. You could very well win the bet by 75-100 thousand.
And if current poles are an indication and 50% of the US adult population refuses a vaccine when available - still at best summer next year for the general population - the casualty figures will rocket next year. Free to be stupid.
I expect that when the dust settles the IFR in the U.S. will turn out to be 0.4%-0.8%. That may not sound very high (although it's much higher than the seasonal flu), but if it takes 60%-70% of the population to reach herd immunity before an effective vaccine is widely available, and the population of the U.S. is ca. 330 million, the arithmetic for potential casualties is sobering.
FWIW, I placed my COVID-19 mortality bet* (200,000 Americans dead by Christmas 2020) back in March (when there were just 300 COVID-19 deaths in the U.S.), assuming a ~0.5% IFR and 10%-15% of the U.S. population infected, while giving myself a little cushion.
*Edit: Link to bet.
There's a very good likelihood you will win your bet before the end of the 3rd quarter. And then comes fall/winter. You could very well win the bet by 75-100 thousand.
And if current poles are an indication and 50% of the US adult population refuses a vaccine when available - still at best summer next year for the general population - the casualty figures will rocket next year. Free to be stupid.
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Brians356
Gold $$ Contributor
Brians356
Gold $$ Contributor
So ... <ahem> in other words: There's absolutely nothing unusual about half the people not getting a flu shot. Or therefore unusual about half saying they don't plan on getting one.
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Everything in U.S. is half one way and half the other. Why should this be any different. We all going to die some day so why worry.
ronsatspokane
Gold $$ Contributor
I am particularly enamored by the prognostications of those who are looking into their crystal ball and predicting doom.
rwj
Gold $$ Contributor
Though 100% effectiveness is not expected, nor realistic, is the efficiency of the flu shot in preventing contracting the virus known? Unfortunately for me, each time I’ve got the shot, I’ve also contracted the virus. Whether coincidence, bad luck, wrong strain it doesn’t matter, but it makes me pause about getting one each year...
Mark W
Gold $$ Contributor
I’ve never taken a flu vaccine in my life and I’m just as likely not to take a COVID vaccination.
Admittedly though I was a germaphobe before it was cool. I’ve always washed my hands and tried my best to avoid sick people by staying out of crowds during flu season. Really not so much different as now minus the mandatory mask here in PA.
Admittedly though I was a germaphobe before it was cool. I’ve always washed my hands and tried my best to avoid sick people by staying out of crowds during flu season. Really not so much different as now minus the mandatory mask here in PA.
butchlambert
Site $$ Sponsor
Interesting info to put it in perspective.
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/history-of-pandemics-deadliest/
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/history-of-pandemics-deadliest/
Yes, we've gotta keep perspective, like . . . we're only about 6 months into covid-19.
Also interesting, I was just reading how the flu and other respiratory deceases in places like South American, Australia, New Zealand are way way down from the norm in cases and deaths as their currently in their flu season. It's like I was telling my wife a few months ago when a new coronavirus popped up, I told here I didn't think it or any new virus had much of a chance of spreading given all the restrictions going on around the world for covid-19. That doesn't mean any of it has "simply disappeared", just that they're not likely to spread easily.
Brians356
Gold $$ Contributor
Hmmm, that red spot on the map ... We could have just fumigated Hollywood and gone home early.
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Brians356
Gold $$ Contributor
How the media sows Covid panic (from Issues & Insights, 27 July 2020):
What do all these news accounts have in common?
“Florida Sets Yet Another Coronavirus Record: 173 Deaths In A Day.”
“A record 173 Floridians died from the virus Thursday, an average of more than one every eight minutes.”
“The 134 new confirmed deaths is the second-largest increase on record, coming five days after the largest one-day jump of 156 last week.”
“COVID-19 has ravaged Florida, with more than 237,000 people testing positive and 2,013 dying from the virus in July alone.”
So what characteristic do all of the reports share? They are all false.
It is not true that 173 people died from COVID-19 “in a day” in Florida. Nor did 134, or 156 on previous days.
It is also untrue than 2,013 had died in July when that story was published.
All of these scary headlines are based on the number of deaths reported by the state on any given day. This is not the same as the number of deaths that occurred on those days.
The difference might seem trivial. But it’s crucial because the press is using the timing of Florida’s death reports to whip up a frenzy about COVID-19 running riot in the state.
Take a look at the chart below. The blue bars are the number of deaths reported in four days last week. Notice the sharp uphill climb? That’s the story the press has been telling.
But those deaths didn’t occur on those days. In fact, the vast majority of them occurred days, or even weeks, before. The actual date of these deaths is indicated by the orange bars.
In fact, as of Sunday, the biggest one-day death toll so far in the state happened back on July 16, when 114 are known to have died. And when the press was claiming that 2,013 had died in July, the actual number of known deaths was 1,847.
As we noted in this space last week, this distortion is being repeated by the media in state after state that has seen a recent spike in coronavirus cases. While deaths attributed to coronavirus have increased, the “surge” is a fiction because many of those deaths happened earlier.
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This is only one of the problems with the death counts being shouted from the media rooftops.
Here again, Florida serves as a model of how to sow fear.
First there’s the missing context.
While 173 deaths reported in a single day sounds like a lot, it pales in comparison to the peak reached in New York and New Jersey earlier this spring.
New York’s reported deaths topped 1,000 on more than one day in April. That’s in a state with 9% fewer people than Florida.
New Jersey’s peak was 523 on April 20. That’s three times the current “record” set in Florida — in a state that has 59% fewer residents.
Another way to look at it is that the death rate in Florida at the moment is 273 per million residents. In New York, it’s 1,680 and in New Jersey it’s 1,785.
In other words, the current situation in Florida is nothing at all like what happened in the northeast in the spring. Yet that critical information never gets conveyed by the press.
https://issuesinsights.com/2020/07/27/florida-is-a-case-study-in-media-induced-covid-19-panic/
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What do all these news accounts have in common?
“Florida Sets Yet Another Coronavirus Record: 173 Deaths In A Day.”
“A record 173 Floridians died from the virus Thursday, an average of more than one every eight minutes.”
“The 134 new confirmed deaths is the second-largest increase on record, coming five days after the largest one-day jump of 156 last week.”
“COVID-19 has ravaged Florida, with more than 237,000 people testing positive and 2,013 dying from the virus in July alone.”
So what characteristic do all of the reports share? They are all false.
It is not true that 173 people died from COVID-19 “in a day” in Florida. Nor did 134, or 156 on previous days.
It is also untrue than 2,013 had died in July when that story was published.
All of these scary headlines are based on the number of deaths reported by the state on any given day. This is not the same as the number of deaths that occurred on those days.
The difference might seem trivial. But it’s crucial because the press is using the timing of Florida’s death reports to whip up a frenzy about COVID-19 running riot in the state.
Take a look at the chart below. The blue bars are the number of deaths reported in four days last week. Notice the sharp uphill climb? That’s the story the press has been telling.
But those deaths didn’t occur on those days. In fact, the vast majority of them occurred days, or even weeks, before. The actual date of these deaths is indicated by the orange bars.
In fact, as of Sunday, the biggest one-day death toll so far in the state happened back on July 16, when 114 are known to have died. And when the press was claiming that 2,013 had died in July, the actual number of known deaths was 1,847.
As we noted in this space last week, this distortion is being repeated by the media in state after state that has seen a recent spike in coronavirus cases. While deaths attributed to coronavirus have increased, the “surge” is a fiction because many of those deaths happened earlier.
...
This is only one of the problems with the death counts being shouted from the media rooftops.
Here again, Florida serves as a model of how to sow fear.
First there’s the missing context.
While 173 deaths reported in a single day sounds like a lot, it pales in comparison to the peak reached in New York and New Jersey earlier this spring.
New York’s reported deaths topped 1,000 on more than one day in April. That’s in a state with 9% fewer people than Florida.
New Jersey’s peak was 523 on April 20. That’s three times the current “record” set in Florida — in a state that has 59% fewer residents.
Another way to look at it is that the death rate in Florida at the moment is 273 per million residents. In New York, it’s 1,680 and in New Jersey it’s 1,785.
In other words, the current situation in Florida is nothing at all like what happened in the northeast in the spring. Yet that critical information never gets conveyed by the press.
https://issuesinsights.com/2020/07/27/florida-is-a-case-study-in-media-induced-covid-19-panic/
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That has to be the dumbest piece of selective analysis I've ever seen for reasons that ought to be painfully obvious to even the most casual of readers.
But yeah, nothing to see here. Thankfully we're way behind New York/NJ. We've learnt something. Lucky us. That was the point of buying time. The 7DMA of reported deaths continues its path upwards as does the median age of new confirmed cases but it's just a light cull (so far).
But yeah, nothing to see here. Thankfully we're way behind New York/NJ. We've learnt something. Lucky us. That was the point of buying time. The 7DMA of reported deaths continues its path upwards as does the median age of new confirmed cases but it's just a light cull (so far).
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