No, base to ogive is meaningless to seating and CBTO. The only way to match CBTO is to seat and verify, with every round, that you have matched it. This, just like you're doing.
There are basic steps taken to reduce errors here: proper fitting seating stem, correct neck preps and sizing, controlling consistent seating friction, minding case fill of powder, occasional annealing if working brass a lot, use of a Sinclair expander mandrel(pre-seating).
I am not familiar with Redding's turning/expander/mandrel tool.
But it makes sense to lubricate an expander mandrel with new necks. After firing you'll have a nice carbon layer that provides consistent friction(no lube needed). Maybe your seating to exact CBTO will be easier with this.
On occasion I'll be off by a thou in CBTO. It's pretty rare & I don't need to readjust anything for that. I guess this is due to my efforts in matching seating force(as measure with a load cell on my mandrel), with tension adjustments, prior to each bullet seating. I don't ever mess with or do anything to change the carbon layer in my necks, and my sizing is truly minimal. So in my case, seating force does actually correlate with tension. With the same seating forces, my seater stem consistently wedges to the same datum.
These are the kind of efforts needed for nats azz precision in seating.
You're already using the right seater die setup. Jim Hardy just mentioned mouth chamfering in another recent thread. This too can influence seating force as well as runout. And you're close enough in CBTO,, good start.