OCW and Chrono testing have demonstrated that my rifle configuration can achieve reasonable MV (2775) at presumably normal pressure. However, once "tuned", QL indicates these loads to be way over max pressure. This seems to be a problem with QL not my configuration. Believe me, I'm trying to find a way to use and trust QL but the fact that it won't confirm safe and accurate nodes identified in OCW seems to be a deficiency in the program rather than my rifle.
I just received a new 26" 6.5CM barrel for my AT so I'll have the opportunity to see if the QL projections are any different with this barrel length.
As noted above, I've already done the OCW testing. The "experiment" was to see if QL would identify them using the OBT method.
What evidence are you using to support the notion that these nodes are actually "safe", meaning, "not overpressure"? In my experience, commonly used brass/primer outputs can be very misleading at times in terms of estimating pressure.
According to Berger's manual, MAX velocity for the 140 HT in a 6.5 Creed is 2634 fps with H4350 and a 24" test barrel. Seating depth (i.e. throat length) can certainly have a big impact on actual load parameters as compared to those found in reloading manuals, which are loaded to mag length and tend to be very conservative, IMO. However, your 2775 fps velocity in a setup you describe as "standard 6.5 CM reamer with a 24" barrel" are almost 150 fps
greater than book MAX. That would be enough to make me question just how high the pressure of your load at 2775 fps actually is.
I have found that QL predictions, once the program has been calibrated for a given setup by adjusting Ba until
predicted MV exactly matches
actual MV, match quite well in terms of velocity to what I experimentally determine for other charge weights. This is certainly not "proof" that the pressure predictions made by QL are inherently "accurate". However, I also generally find brass life correlates quite well to the QL predictions. In other words, loads at or near SAAMI MAX in my hands usually also suffer from poor brass life. For these reasons, I tend to put more faith in QL pressure predictions than commonly-used "pressure signs" in brass.
In any event, in all the time I have been using QL, I have only come across a single case where the program predicted a ridiculously high pressure that clearly was not happening. In that specific case, it is likely that there was an issue with the program's file for that specific powder. So there certainly could be cases where QL isn't giving the correct outputs. However, I have no reason to believe there is anything wrong with the H4350 file data, it's not a powder I use but I know a number of people that do and their QL outputs for loads with H4350 don't show anything abnormal.
Edited to add: I just looked up commercial ammunition "box" velocity values for 6.5 Creed and a couple brands using 140 gr bullets list 2710 fps. So your 2775 fps doesn't necessarily seem all that high. This may simp,y be one of those examples where QL isn't giving you the right outputs, as you suggested. I also spoke with a friend that shoots the Creed and he didn't think your load was excessively hot either. His suggestion if you simply can't hit the OBT node with the 140s, switching to the 130 VLDs might be an alternative that would allow you to get a bit more velocity and possibly hit the OBT Node with the lighter bullet. Just a suggestion, anyhow. Good luck with it.