Can you expand on this: “Also you get case fill percentage and burn rate percentage. These last two help me predict if a load will have a tendency to be successful. Of course sometimes less than perfect case fill and/or non optimal burn”
Sure thing. Note: I've never used these programs for magnum rifle or pistol loads. I have no idea if my observations hold true for those. Also, my experiences have mostly been for hitting 3/4 moa hunting loads. Confirmed at 100 and 200 yards. I've done a few at 1/2 MOA.
First Steps
One of the first things you do (or should do) when you start using this program is provide it with the actual measured H20 capacity of your fire formed brass in your chamber. With your actual case capacity measurements, you get far better predictions from the software.
Case fill
The software will use your case capacity, OAL, and other things to predict a case fill %. So you can see, for example that 30.1gr of H4198 will give me a fill percentage of 96.3%.
What I have noticed over the years is that the prevailing wisdom about case fill % is true. The closer you are to a full case, the better chance the load will be successful. Or maybe, I should say, the easier the load will be to tune. It's been my experience that for extruded powder, you want to be at least 85% full. For spherical powders, 90% or better seems to be a good spot. I have a feeling that these percentage guidelines will end up much tighter when it comes to ultra precise competition loads.
Powder Burn %
The software also provides a powder burn percentage. This data point provides you a percentage of how much of your original powder load has burned when your bullet exits the barrel. Further, you can consult the internal ballistics graph it gives you. It will allow you to see the burn % down the length of your barrel. So for example, you can see that 88% of the powder is burnt in the first inch or so.
I have noticed that this data point is also important to develop a successful load. In addition, on an anecdotal basis, I have noticed that less than efficient burn percentages contribute to faster barrel fouling. I don't know if it's carbon fouling, because if it doesn't burn, can it be carbon? However, have noticed that groups open up at a lower round count when the burn percentage is less than optimal. I personally like to keep the burn percentage 95% or higher. When you see 100% burn, then you would want to investigate where that 100% occurs in your barrel. Then contrast that knowledge with your velocity goals. You might be leaving some velocity on the table by using too fast of a powder
Applications in Load Dev/Tuning
If I were starting load dev for lets say a 6BRA....
I don't have an extra $700 on hand to go out and buy 16lbs of what powder everyone is using in competitions. So I have to get creative.
I would start with fireforming 10 pieces of brass to get my actual H20 case capacity and then I would 'run the numbers' with the 5-7 powders I have on hand that may possibly work with this cartridge. I'd choose 2-3 powders to do some initial velocity tests. I would pick them based on the software's predictions on Chamber Pressure, Case Fill %, and Powder burn rate and velocity. At this stage, take velocity predictions with a grain of salt. They are never on the mark until you get your chrono to measure actual velocities and back calculate some other variables.
So now I have 2-3 powders that seem to meet my goals. Time to test them for velocity.