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Is Armageddon Upon Us????

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Yep, I hear that.
A couple followup points. First off, in the last year, their deposits increased by over $100 bil.
Their first mistake was assuming net deposits would continue to increase, with little withdrawal needs, so they could not rationalize that much cash earning 25 basis points, thus the move out to the long end of the curve instead of more barbell, lots long/ lots short.
Biggest mistake was not placing a hedge agains the long duration, that was plain f..king stupid.
The board and senior management were all woke and focused on their ESG scores rather than investor returns and deposit safety.

 
Yep, I hear that.
A couple followup points. First off, in the last year, their deposits increased by over $100 bil.
Their first mistake was assuming net deposits would continue to increase, with little withdrawal needs, so they could not rationalize that much cash earning 25 basis points, thus the move out to the long end of the curve instead of more barbell, lots long/ lots short.
Biggest mistake was not placing a hedge agains the long duration, that was plain f..king stupid.
Right. When you see the VC money drying up, how do you not anticipate those portfolio companies burning though cash? The other thing that really surprised me is that they had a huge ($3.3B) deposit from some BS stable coin. As we know from recent history, they can evaporate almost instantly, especially when bond prices drop suddenly. If they don't appreciate that risk to your deposits, what other stupid stuff were they doing?

It's unreal how badly managed this was. Zero interest rates cover up a lot of very bad decisions. It puts the Fed in real bind - keep the system alive or fight inflation? Can't do both at the same time. I guess it's time to pay the piper for recent excesses.
 
The board and senior management were all woke and focused on their ESG scores rather than investor returns and deposit safety.

“It’s not enough to just report the numbers, instead, we need to demand a deep look at company culture — what are the informal networks and behaviors that support the status quo,” Burr said. “Discuss this at the board level and hold management teams accountable for real change.”

How ironic.
 
I'm hearing its all about a giant step closer to CBDCs. When governments/central
banks own all of the major banks via bailouts, they will say when to switch over.
 
All money comes from the citizens one way or another. Federal, state and local governments and their affiliates are the hired help of the individual citizen. Their role is to perform duties wherein the economies of scale prevent the individual from being sufficiently effective. Duties like protecting and defending the US. Things have gotten a "bit" upside down. The FED will now take your money and give it to those who had millions in unsecured deposits. The scam is referred to as privatizing gains and socializing losses. Both parties feel it is their duty to socialize the losses of their particular constituents. As we saw in 2008 and we are seeing again. In my view it is a criminal activity. Theft pure and simple.
My education is K thru 4. The treasure prints or coins it {money}. The banks borrow from the Federal Reserve Bank @ a interest rate. They loan money to business, manufactures, home loans, car loans etc @ a higher rate of interest.Some is saved and returned to bank from depositers {invested} by working people.
U. S. Constitution defines money as gold and silver coin.
Banking might become less corrupt if the FDIC was abolished and the banker answered to the depositer who's money he mismanaged.

You have never explained in your narrative just how the citzens got their money. GOT IT ?

We are not stupid as you think.
 
My education is K thru 4. The treasure prints or coins it {money}. The banks borrow from the Federal Reserve Bank @ a interest rate. They loan money to business, manufactures, home loans, car loans etc @ a higher rate of interest.Some is saved and returned to bank from depositers {invested} by working people.
U. S. Constitution defines money as gold and silver coin.
Banking might become less corrupt if the FDIC was abolished and the banker answered to the depositer who's money he mismanaged.

You have never explained in your narrative just how the citzens got their money. GOT IT ?

We are not stupid as you think.
That is not how it works. The banks loan your deposited money at a higher interest rate on the loan than they give you on your deposited money. That is the primary way they make money. They also invest your deposits in both long and short term instruments of various sorts. They go to the fed to borrow when they cannot make their reserve requirement for the day. The bottom line is that if you have a bank account, it is your money being loaned.

SVB failed because they had too much deposited money invested in long term debt at low interest rates. Those investments dropped in value as interest rates rose. They could not only not meet their reserve requirement but they could not liquidate those long term instruments to meet withdrawals.

Citizens get their money via the labor of their mind or their body or both in addition to other ways. In years past that was gold. Dug right out of the ground and traded for labor or intellectual property. Unfortunately there is not enough gold in the world to allow for economic expansion hence what you term money was developed. It represents value rather than being of value itself. Said money is printed by the federal government and initially was backed by gold and silver. When I say "by the federal government" I mean by you. You own the federal government. They are your employees. So you are the one who made the money. The advantage being that you no longer need to carry a heavy bag around with you while shopping. You gave the gold to your employees (the federal government) and they gave you paper that represented your gold. You can still do that today. Either dig the gold yourself or trade your labor for metal then you are free to trade the metal for paper. Not all remuneration is via paper or metal however. Things like health care and other benefits are not paid to you via physical renumeration.
 
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The reason SVB went down was because of crackpot startups wasn't it?
No, not exactly. SVB's deposits grew enormously in recent years. Venture Capital investment was booming. All that money flowed into startups and tech companies as cash for them to run their businesses. Many of those startups used SVB as a bank because SVB was more friendly to entrepreneurs than most banks, who won't give them the time of day. So far so good. SVB then invests money in treasury bonds among other things. The ideas is that you get a guaranteed rate of return on those investments by holding them to maturity. It's a very safe strategy when done properly.

But the reason that these startups had so much cash is because the Fed had lowered interest rates to basically zero, and the government was fighting over who got to sign the stimmy checks. PPP "loans" were basically given to companies large and small. Free money all around. Well free money leads to inflation. Lots of free money leads to lots of inflation. So SVB was buying these ultrasafe treasuries at historically low interest rates.

But what happened next is that the Fed abruptly raised interest rates to slow the economy and combat inflation. That slows business making it harder to borrow. It also drives down the value of bonds. All that VC money dried up, and the startups started spending through their money - SVB deposits dropped quickly. They found themselves in a precarious financial position because all those bonds they bought intending to hold to maturity were underwater, and they had to sell at a loss to pay for the money startups were withdrawing, which put them in an even more difficult position. Once the word got out, everyone wanted their deposits (the vast majority of which are NOT FDIC insured), and the game was up. The regulators shut them down and took over. The Fed stepped in and made the bank's customers whole again, but SVB, its creditors, and shareholders are done for.

The mistake they made was not acknowledging that their deposits were likely to fluctuate wildly with the whims of the tech industry, and buying bonds that were longer in duration than was wise. It's basic finance and they cocked it up majorly. There is no excuse for that level of incompetence at a bank that size. I'm glad the feds let it fail.
 
That is not how it works. The banks loan your deposited money at a higher interest rate on the loan than they give you on your deposited money. That is the primary way they make money. They also invest your deposits in both long and short term instruments of various sorts. They go to the fed to borrow when they cannot make their reserve requirement for the day. The bottom line is that if you have a bank account, it is your money being loaned.

SVB failed because they had too much deposited money invested in long term debt at low interest rates. Those investments dropped in value as interest rates rose. They could not only not meet their reserve requirement but they could not liquidate those long term instruments to meet withdrawals.

Citizens get their money via the labor of their mind or their body or both in addition to other ways. In years past that was gold. Dug right out of the ground and traded for labor or intellectual property. Unfortunately there is not enough gold in the world to allow for economic expansion hence what you term money was developed. It represents value rather than being of value itself. Said money is printed by the federal government and initially was backed by gold and silver. When I say "by the federal government" I mean by you. You own the federal government. They are your employees. So you are the one who made the money. The advantage being that you no longer need to carry a heavy bag around with you while shopping. You gave the gold to your employees (the federal government) and they gave you paper that represented your gold. You can still do that today. Either dig the gold yourself or trade your labor for metal then you are free to trade the metal for paper. Not all remuneration is via paper or metal however. Things like health care and other benefits are not paid to you via physical renumeration.

That is not how it works. The banks loan your deposited money at a higher interest rate on the loan than they give you on your deposited money. That is the primary way they make money. They also invest your deposits in both long and short term instruments of various sorts. They go to the fed to borrow when they cannot make their reserve requirement for the day. The bottom line is that if you have a bank account, it is your money being loaned.

SVB failed because they had too much deposited money invested in long term debt at low interest rates. Those investments dropped in value as interest rates rose. They could not only not meet their reserve requirement but they could not liquidate those long term instruments to meet withdrawals.

Citizens get their money via the labor of their mind or their body or both in addition to other ways. In years past that was gold. Dug right out of the ground and traded for labor or intellectual property. Unfortunately there is not enough gold in the world to allow for economic expansion hence what you term money was developed. It represents value rather than being of value itself. Said money is printed by the federal government and initially was backed by gold and silver. When I say "by the federal government" I mean by you. You own the federal government. They are your employees. So you are the one who made the money. The advantage being that you no longer need to carry a heavy bag around with you while shopping. You gave the gold to your employees (the federal government) and they gave you paper that represented your gold. You can still do that today. Either dig the gold yourself or trade your labor for metal then you are free to trade the metal for paper. Not all remuneration is via paper or metal however. Things like health care and other benefits are not paid to you via physical renumeration.
I suggest YOU and others search Federal Reserve Board. There are 12 member banks in 12 districts across the country. It will tell you they loan money. They have started loan/ give money down to local communities.
Pull a note out of your wallet and it will tell you it's a Federal Reserve Note.
 
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