Okay, Bryan's book arrived in the mail yesterday. And I've watched both of the Hornady Podcast episodes that, together with Bryan's book, were apparently what prompted the question posed by the OP - are we doing load development wrong?
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I have to confess I had never watched the Hornady Podcast before. At just over an hour for each episode, it's not a trivial investment in time. But Seth, Miles, and Jayden are all obviously thoughtful, intelligent, and articulate gentlemen. They present themselves exceptionally well. I enjoyed their discussions enough that I subscribed to their channel.
I'm a fan of Bryan Litz. He usually brings a rigorous, thoughtful, facts-oriented focus to his shooting-sports research. This is the fourth book of his I've purchased.
When I opened this latest effort by him and saw that
Chapter 6: Ladder Testing for Powder Charge I thought "okay, here's where all the hullabaloo came from."
But having now watched both of those podcasts, and read portions of the book, it's clear to me that there's more than a little bit of "horses for courses," as the old saying goes. It's not that they're wrong, as far as it goes.
But although "benchrest" is mentioned in passing a few times, it seems clear to me that although they
thought they were covering the field, the truth is none of them appear to actually have any direct experience with the most accurate rifles out there.
At the end of the second podcast, Seth turns to Miles and asks him to explain his load development methodology. And, indeed, it's kind of a stunner to hear Miles so cavalierly dismiss charge weight and seating depth. I suppose if you've never deliberately run your bullet into the lands, because barrel after barrel and rifle after rifle has told you that that's where they shoot best... it's just not a thing you're going to think is important.
But it's when Miles talks about ".75 MOA, maybe .8" as his yardstick when developing a load that you know that what he's doing, and what he's looking for, is a world away from what a benchrest competitor is seeking.
Bryan's chapter on ladder testing was also a disappointment. Not because it was wrong - it wasn't. But because it focused solely on charge weight testing to determine if the muzzle velocity "flat spots" that frequently occur across a ladder are repeatable (spoiler: they're not).
As someone who has never believed in that thesis, it wasn't the kind of test I found interesting or insightful. But if you're one of those who look to your chronograph to tell you where you're good loads are, instead of the target downrange... I suppose that might qualify as big news.
The larger point raised by both Litz and the Hornady team about sample sizes and dispersion and how shooting larger groups inevitably leads to greater dispersion... until that time that you've put enough shots downrange that you have a normal distribution... is not something I disagree with, either.
But if Bryan and Seth and Miles and Jayden were to attend a SR Score Benchrest match they'd observe the winner touching that tiny little X twenty-some times, out of 25 record shots. Even with conditions. And the two or three shots that missed... missed by a hair.
Close behind that winner would be several other competitors, just an X or two down.
And if Bryan and Seth and Miles and Jayden choose to go to several matches, in different places, they'll continue to see those same top shooters atop the leaderboard.
It's not luck.
But you know what? You take those 25-shots for record at each match and you add 'em together - same relative POA, save only adjusting for conditions - and you've got your normal distribution.
The bottom line for me is that when we're talking about the best, most accurate rifles in the world, we're talking about a world where nuance matters. A world where the tiny change in barrel harmonics that a tuner provides, or that a seating depth change effects, can absolutely be seen on the target.
It doesn't surprise me that someone who has never experienced that world, might think those don't matter.