The farther away the final load ends up from the initial calibration step, the greater the discrepancy between predicted and actual results seems to be. My interpretation of this behavior is that the real-world responses are only close to the predicted linear responses over a somewhat narrow charge weight range. I address this issue by re-adjusting the charge weight, temperature, and burn rate (Ba) values every time I generate additional data, then saving the new file/date.
I hope you guys don't mind me reviving this thread, so let me know if I need to start a new one. BTW greetings and thanks for all the good info.
I have been messing around in QL for for countless hours over the last couple of weeks trying to see if it will match up with some of previous load data. It actually did a pretty good job with velocity once Ba tweaked. It also seems to be indicating that the QL barrel times vs published OBT node times seem to be syncing with my accurate loads, pretty well in fact. I have put in everything as perfect as I can get it, which is to say pretty dang good.
But I see the velocity discrepancy
@Ned Ludd mentioned. If I calibrate velocity for a lower charge, the upper charge, if it is 1.5 or so grains higher, will be predicted lower by QL than I actually measure. I have seen this for 5 different loads, with two powder lots for one particular load. Loads are 223, 22-250, two 308's, and 30-30. All showing the same behavior. I have a lot of velocity data from these loads with many data points. I have tried Ba, cart weighting, bullet weight, temp changes (to match actual) and everything Chris Long and others have mentioned, but can't get the charge vs velocity curve to change "slope". Any ideas?
I'll throw this out there, though it is highly unorthodox. I finally tried tweaking the propellant solid density and bingo, the slope change changed and I got the velocity data to sync with some follow-up Ba adjustment. Afterward, I will say that the pressure predictions went crazy and it seems everything I'm shooting is at or near max, LOL - which they're not, confirmed by actual testing. But, I got it to predict the velocities of a new OCW load workup that a buddy was shooting on his 308. But, this seems pretty unorthodoxed and I am hesitant to claim any validity to doing it at this point. Anyone else try this?
Anyway, thanks in advance for your thoughts.