About 2% is also the weight difference. When the 184’s were introduced, I had wondered whether the 2% benefit would be entirely offset by the penalty in getting them up to speed, and the theoretical rule that you simply cannot shoot 184’s as fast as 180’s, without paying a price somewhere else.
Berger Bullets had thrived on pushing BC limits while giving up nothing in consistency, which is now the accepted approach. I believe they were the original, true renegade (unabashed) in high BC match bullets, until “amazing” became normal, although few are old enough to recall all the loyalties and fur flying from back in “the day”. They are so good at it that all their match bullets hug a plot line on the ratio between BC and weight, within calibers.
I have always considered pointed 195’s to be a notch higher than that trend line, but with a thinner jacket (made it easy to accelerate) I eventually found their stress point in matches, but it was not related to weight or twist requirements.
It would be interesting to see if the 3-4 of their most widely used competition bullets are actually above or below the average BC to weight ratio of their yellow box lineup.
My point was mainly that when the BCs of two bullets are close, let's say less than 4-5% difference, then the heavier, higher BC bullet will usually only enjoy a ballistic advantage if the precision is equal or better. However, the ballistic advantage will be small enough that if the heavier, higher BC bullet does not load to equal precision, it's probably not an advantage at all. As you noted, the velocities at which the two bullets will tune in almost always plays a role. Typically, the heavier bullet will tune in at a lower velocity. The velocity differential between tuned loads is not necessarily so large that the lighter, lower BC bullet is
guaranteed to offer a
theoretical ballistic advantage due to its higher velocity, but it certainly can in isolated cases. One example of this is Berger's .30 cal 168 Hybrid, which can be pushed fast enough with the right setup at reasonable operating pressure to provide equal or better ballistics than the 185 Juggernaut, even though the Jug has a higher BC. The reason for this is that the 168 Hybrid enjoys a very high BC for its weight, so the BC differential as compared to 185s is quite small. In most cases however, the heavier, higher BC bullet will still enjoy a
theoretical ballistic advantage, even at the slower velocity of a tuned load. The farther apart the BCs of the two bullets, the better this will generally hold true. It is also dependent on load optimization; i.e. having the correct barrel length, freebore, powder type, etc., such that the heavier, higher BC bullet is not disadvantaged by a sub-optimal loading or rifle setup.
I have estimated BCs regularly for a number of different Berger bullets (and others) using LabRadar velocity drop data, although not for the 180/184 7mm offerings. Of course, the caveat with the LabRadar data is the relatively short distance over which it is measured. Nonetheless, I have been repeatedly amazed at how close the estimated BC values for non-pointed bullets comes to Berger's box value. In my hands, the estimated and reported values have been very close. Pointing bullets seems to increase the BC in the expected 3-6% range, which the LabRadar velocity data is also more than capable of detecting. The BC standard deviations for typical 10-shot strings are OK, generally in the 3-5% range for length-sorted/pointed bullets, sometimes a little less. More often than not, the higher SDs are due to a single outlier in the string. I also suspect that the principle caveat of the short distance over which velocity drop is measured with the LabRadar tends to inflate the SDs. They are probably better than my data indicate. I have to admit that I generally enjoy taking these kind of measurements and making theoretical estimates regarding bullet performance from them. That is the scientist in me. However, I readily admit that in many cases, I can likely not shoot the difference, even though I can demonstrate on paper that there should be a difference. Very small differences in external ballistics are difficult to quantify in terms of actual match scores. Sometimes it is possible to notice a slight difference over time.