Joh,
some thoughts i put together for my sons and grandchildren
a few facts
if the waves are moving right to left the wind is moving right to left and the target is to the right of where you see it
if the waves are boiling verticle the image is above where the target actually is
if the waves are moving right to left at a 4:00 to 10:00 angle the wind is moving the image up and to the left the actual target is to the 4

o point
if the waves are moving left to right 7:00to 1:00 the target is actually at the 7:00 area
the same is true of a wave movement from 10-11:00 towards 4-5:00
The same is true of waves movement from 1-2:00 towards 7-8:00
The wave direction indicates the wind direction and the target is alway at the sorce of the wave direction.
the intensity of the wind determines the distance the image is actually moved
12 and 6:00 winds offer the least movement and usully the target is more clear
3-9:00 winds give full effect to movement and deformed image
1-2:00 and 4-5:00 and 7-8:00 and 10-11: give about 1/2 the target movement vs its actual position
Wind speed/vertical boil is the determining factor as to how far the image moves from true
Everything above is for a wind behind you -- if the wind is in your face, the movemet of the image you see is the reverse of that above, basicly a right to left mirage with wind in the face will move the image to 7-8:00 - low left vs the actual target position,
etc.
Bob