thefitter said:
Shouldn't these be enough to accurately predict pressure?
What about chamber dimensions? Or barrel dimensions such as diameter? We always hear "look for pressure in your rifle".
How exactly does chamber dimensions or other mechanics unique to a rifle affect pressure?
Every variable affects peak chamber pressure, even the hardness of lead or jacket. Slight differences in throat, rifling, cartridge wall thickness, ... It's just too many to "accurately predict" peak pressure. The best we can do is select the most important factors and make a prediction from that. That's what programmes like Quickload attempt to do. They are close but not perfect.
It's usually enough for most high-pressure cartridge shooters to have reasonable starting and maximum charges and to start low and work up until satisfactory performance or high pressure signs appear, whichever comes first.
The low pressure cartridges often don't show signs of high pressure. e.g. shotshells. If you flatten a primer (say 50KPSI) you are probably holding a fragment of a shotgun if you are still standing. Those cases and actions are designed for less than 20KPSI with most loads being around 10KPSI.
Peak pressure is usually what concerns us. Too high and things break. Average pressure, mostly related to charge/volume of case/bore, is important as it relates directly to energy of the bullet at the muzzle. The peak pressure is reached when the powder has been totally converted to gas and the bullet has not moved or the bullet sweeps out new volume at the same rate that the propellant can burn. It's a balancing act we control mostly by charge, seating depth, and weight of bullet. The peak pressure is usually reached in microseconds. The pressure at the muzzle is still thousands of PSI in many cases which is why muzzle-blast affects hearing so much. With a slow powder the bullet may have to move several inches before the powder is all consumed. With a very fast powder, the bullet may be barely moving before the powder is consumed. It's complicated and you can see in old reloading manuals versus new manuals how much recommended charges have changed. In the old days, they used "copper crushers". Today they usually use pressure transducers to measure peak pressure. The copper crusher was way less accurate and much slower.
Predictions are useful but it is dangerous to rely on them. Use judicious testing to confirm.
The manner in which chamber/cartridge/bore dimensions affect pressures are several. One is that, roughly, pressure = some constants X amount of propellant consumed X temperature of the propellant gases / volume behind the bullet. At first the bullet is stationary so the volume is determined by chamber volume and cartridge thicknesses and seating depth. As the bullet moves, the volume increases slowly at first and then more rapidly as the pressureXarea of the bullet - friction with case and bore/rifling is the force able to accelerate the mass of the bullet. The peak pressure depends on many things from primer, to starting temperature, these volumes, and even the hardness or slipperiness of the bullet. A soft bullet will swage into the bore some plugging it very tightly whereas a hard bullet will cut itself on the rifling and slide along the bore. There's also some force from the rifling being an inclined plane on which the bullet has to rise. Lubricant, finish of the steel, ... everything matters. The best we can do is guesstimate according to the most important ones, primer, powder, seating depth, case capacity and chamber volume. Reloaders try to minimize the variation in pressures by controlling the things they can control as best they can.